The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season, which means fewer storms than usual.

2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Earlier this year, NOAA forecasters predicted a 55% chance of a below-normal season. Now that we’re in the middle of the season, they predict a 75% chance of below-normal, a good sign for Florida residents and visitors.

There is a 20% chance of near-normal activity and a 5% chance of above-normal activity.

The hurricane season officially ranges from June 1 through November 30 but hits its peak in early September.

NOAA’s National Weather Service updated the number of expected named storms and hurricanes:

• 7-13 Named Storms, including the 2 named storms recorded thus far (winds of 39+ mph)
• 2-6 Hurricanes (winds of 74+ mph)
• 0-2 Major Hurricanes (winds of 111+ mph)

Storms are named when their winds reach 39 mph or greater. They are classified as hurricanes

A typical hurricane season in the Atlantic basin has 14 named storms, seven of which become hurricanes and three of which become major hurricanes.

The two named tropical storms so far have been Arthur and Bertha, both forming in the Gulf and hitting Louisiana.

“Inland rainfall is a major cause of damage from tropical storms and hurricanes, as Arthur demonstrated,” said NOAA’s National Weather Service Director Ken Graham. “That’s why it’s important to prepare for every storm that’s projected to impact your area, even if it never reaches hurricane strength.”

If a hurricane approaches Walt Disney World or Universal Orlando Resort, they may close their theme parks temporarily. Disney Cruise Line sailings may be adjusted or canceled.

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